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Spark & Whetstonethe grown-up commons

← The Shape of Life · Lesson 3 of 4

A prediction, and how sure it is

Since 2020, computer programs such as AlphaFold have predicted the shapes of hundreds of millions of proteins from their sequences alone.

A good prediction says how confident it is about each part. On the Fold Commons Viewer, confident parts look firm and less confident parts look faint, like a pencil sketch.

Low confidence is not always a mistake. It often marks a floppy part that really does move, and some of those floppy parts do important work.

One question

A predicted structure shows one long tail with very low confidence. What is a reasonable reading?

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